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Should you bid this contract, or pass?

Decide with a weighted scorecard instead of a gut feel. Rate seven factors that drive a win and a profitable delivery, weight them to your business, and get a single score: 70 and up is a bid, 50 to 69 warrants a closer review, and below 50 leans toward a pass.

Rate each factor from 1 to 5 to see your weighted go or no-go score and what is dragging it down.

01Score the opportunityrate 1 to 5
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Does this contract move you toward where you want the business to go?
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Your realistic odds against the current holder and known rivals.
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Can you show you have done work like this, and done it well?
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People, equipment, and bandwidth to deliver if you win.
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Whether the work pays at a margin worth your effort.
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Bonding, insurance, clearances, penalties, and delivery risk.
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How well you understand the buyer and their priorities.
Weights total 100. They do not have to add to 100; the score is normalized either way, but tuning the weights to your business sharpens the result.
Awaiting your ratings
Rate each of the seven factors from 1 to 5, adjust the weights to fit your business, then score the bid to get a weighted go or no-go recommendation.
The seven factors · default weights
FactorWeightWhat it measures
Strategic fit15How well it fits where the business is headed
Win probability vs incumbent20Realistic odds against the current holder
Capability and past performance20Proven track record on similar work
Resources and capacity15People and equipment to deliver
Profitability and margin15Whether the work pays
Compliance and risk10Bonding, insurance, clearances, penalties
Relationship and buyer intel5How well you understand the buyer

Last verified 2026-06-27

Why a scorecard beats a gut call

Chasing every tender burns the time and money you need for the ones you can actually win. A bid/no-bid scorecard forces the question early and consistently: is this worth pursuing? By scoring each opportunity against the same factors, you stop over-weighting the exciting contract in front of you and start comparing it fairly against everything else on your desk.

How to read the score

Each factor contributes points equal to your rating out of five times its weight, and the total is normalized to 100. A score of 70 or more is a strong signal to bid. A score from 50 to 69 is a review zone: pursue it only if you can lift the weak factors before the deadline. Below 50, the opportunity is probably not worth your bid budget. Look past the headline number to the breakdown, which shows exactly which low-rated factors cost you the most points so you know what to fix or accept.

The weights are a starting point

The default weights put the most emphasis on win probability and capability, because winning and delivering matter more than fit on its own. But they are only a starting point. Tune them to how your business actually makes money and wins work. A firm that guards its margin should weight profitability higher; a firm trying to break into a new buyer might weight relationship and strategic fit up. The honest part is the rating: score the opportunity as it is, not as you wish it were.

What this tool leaves out

This is a planning aid, not a guarantee of the outcome. It cannot see the competition you do not know about, a buyer relationship you have not built, or a number you rated optimistically. Use it to structure the decision and the conversation with your team, then make the final call with judgment.

Common questions

How do I decide whether to bid on a government contract?

Score the opportunity against the factors that drive a win and a profitable delivery: strategic fit, your odds against the incumbent, your capability and past performance, your capacity to deliver, the margin, the compliance and delivery risk, and how well you know the buyer. Rate each one, weight them to your business, and let a combined score guide a go, review, or no-go call.

What is a bid/no-bid scorecard?

It is a structured way to make a pursue-or-pass decision instead of bidding on instinct. Each decision factor gets a weight reflecting how much it matters, you rate the opportunity 1 to 5 on each, and the weighted total gives a single score you can compare across opportunities and discuss with your team.

What weights should I use?

The defaults here are a starting point: win probability and capability carry the most weight because they drive whether you can actually win and deliver. Tune them to your business. A firm protecting margin might raise profitability; a firm breaking into a new buyer might raise strategic fit and relationship.

How do I read the score?

The score is normalized to 100. Seventy and up suggests a bid worth pursuing, 50 to 69 means review it carefully before committing resources, and below 50 leans toward a pass. Just as useful is the breakdown showing which low-rated factors dragged the score down so you can fix them or walk away.

Is this bid/no-bid tool free?

Yes, free and no signup. It runs a deterministic weighted calculation on the ratings and weights you enter. Treat the result as a planning aid that structures the decision, not a guarantee that you will win or that pursuing is the right call.

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